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Liverpool v Leicester City, Premier League 2016–17

LiverpoolLiverpool

Firmino 13', 89'Mané 31'Lallana 56'

Final score 4 to 1

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.1

Full time

LeicesterLeicester City

Vardy 38'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 43%, draw 26%, Leicester win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Liverpool and Leicester
LiverpoolLeicester
1.61.1
4Goals1
1.81.0