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Liverpool v Sunderland, Premier League 2016–17

LiverpoolLiverpool

Origi 75'Milner 90+1' penalty

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 2.9 to 0.6

Full time

SunderlandSunderland

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Liverpool win 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland win 9%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Liverpool and Sunderland
LiverpoolSunderland
2.90.6
2Goals0
2.60.3