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Manchester City v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17

Man CityManchester City

Sané 47'Sterling 71'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.4 to 0.4

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Walcott 5'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 48%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 27%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Arsenal
Man CityArsenal
1.40.4
2Goals1
2.10.6