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Manchester City v Burnley, Premier League 2016–17

Man CityManchester City

Clichy 58'Agüero 62'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.2

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Mee 70'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 78%, draw 15%, Burnley win 7%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Burnley
Man CityBurnley
0.81.2
2Goals1
1.01.7