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Manchester City v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

Man CityManchester City

Cahill 45' (OG)

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.4

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Costa 60'Willian 70'Hazard 90'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 47%, draw 28%, Chelsea win 25%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Chelsea
Man CityChelsea
1.61.4
1Goals3
1.51.3