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Manchester City v Southampton, Premier League 2016–17

Man CityManchester City

Iheanacho 55'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.0 to 0.5

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Redmond 27'

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 54%, draw 25%, Southampton win 21%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Southampton
Man CitySouthampton
1.00.5
1Goals1
1.80.8