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Manchester United v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17

Man UnitedManchester United

Mata 68'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 0.4

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Giroud 89'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Man United win 34%, draw 31%, Arsenal win 35%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Arsenal
Man UnitedArsenal
0.70.4
1Goals1
1.61.0