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Manchester United v Southampton, Premier League 2016–17

Man UnitedManchester United

Ibrahimovic 36', 52' penalty

Final score 2 to 0

Expected goals 1.5 to 0.9

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Win chances: Man United favored. Man United win 41%, draw 29%, Southampton win 30%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man United and Southampton
Man UnitedSouthampton
1.50.9
2Goals0
1.80.9