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Middlesbrough v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Negredo 50'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 2.1 to 1.4

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 42'Özil 71'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Middlesbrough win 19%, draw 28%, Arsenal win 53%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Middlesbrough and Arsenal
MiddlesbroughArsenal
2.11.4
1Goals2
1.81.0