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Middlesbrough v Southampton, Premier League 2016–17

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Bamford 72'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.2 to 1.8

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Rodríguez 42'Redmond 57'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Middlesbrough win 24%, draw 30%, Southampton win 46%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on May 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Middlesbrough and Southampton
MiddlesbroughSouthampton
1.21.8
1Goals2
0.91.8