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Middlesbrough v Stoke City, Premier League 2016–17

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Negredo 11'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.9 to 0.8

Full time

StokeStoke City

Shaqiri 67'

Win chances: Middlesbrough favored. Middlesbrough win 47%, draw 27%, Stoke win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 13. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Middlesbrough and Stoke
MiddlesbroughStoke
0.90.8
1Goals1
1.41.2