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Middlesbrough v Sunderland, Premier League 2016–17

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

de Roon 8'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.5 to 0.5

Full time

SunderlandSunderland

Win chances: Middlesbrough favored. Middlesbrough win 39%, draw 33%, Sunderland win 28%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Middlesbrough and Sunderland
MiddlesbroughSunderland
0.50.5
1Goals0
1.31.3