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Southampton v Burnley, Premier League 2016–17

SouthamptonSouthampton

Austin 52', 66' penaltyRedmond 60'

Final score 3 to 1

Expected goals 3.8 to 1.2

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Vokes 72' penalty

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 70%, draw 22%, Burnley win 8%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Burnley
SouthamptonBurnley
3.81.2
3Goals1
2.60.3