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Southampton v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

SouthamptonSouthampton

Final score 0 to 2

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.4

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 6'Costa 55'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 40%, draw 29%, Chelsea win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 30. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Chelsea
SouthamptonChelsea
0.81.4
0Goals2
0.91.8