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Southampton v Middlesbrough, Premier League 2016–17

SouthamptonSouthampton

Boufal 53'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 1.3 to 0.8

Full time

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 53%, draw 31%, Middlesbrough win 16%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Middlesbrough
SouthamptonMiddlesbrough
1.30.8
1Goals0
1.80.9