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Southampton v Sunderland, Premier League 2016–17

SouthamptonSouthampton

Rodríguez 85'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 1.3

Full time

SunderlandSunderland

Defoe 80' penalty

Win chances: Southampton favored. Southampton win 58%, draw 24%, Sunderland win 18%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Southampton and Sunderland
SouthamptonSunderland
0.71.3
1Goals1
0.91.8