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Stoke City v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

StokeStoke City

Walters 38' penalty

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.1 to 1.6

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Willian 13'Cahill 87'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Stoke win 23%, draw 30%, Chelsea win 47%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 18. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Stoke and Chelsea
StokeChelsea
1.11.6
1Goals2
1.11.7