Stoke City v Manchester City, Premier League 2016–17
StokeStoke City
Krkic 49' penalty
Final score 1 to 4
Expected goals 1.2 to 1.7
Man CityManchester City
Agüero 27' penalty, 36'Nolito 86', 90+5'
- Date Saturday, August 20, 2016
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 20. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Man City favored. Stoke win 22%, draw 25%, Man City win 53%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Stoke | Man City | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 1.0 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.7 | ||