Sunderland v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17
SunderlandSunderland
Defoe 65' penalty
Final score 1 to 4
Expected goals 0.9 to 1.7
ArsenalArsenal
Sánchez 19', 78'Giroud 71', 76'
- Date Saturday, October 29, 2016
- Premier League 2016–17
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 29. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Sunderland win 20%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 55%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 29. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Sunderland | Arsenal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.7 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 4 | ||
| 0.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 2.0 | ||