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Sunderland v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

SunderlandSunderland

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.4

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Fàbregas 40'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Sunderland win 19%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 55%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Chelsea
SunderlandChelsea
0.61.4
0Goals1
0.81.9