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Sunderland v Leicester City, Premier League 2016–17

SunderlandSunderland

Huth 64' (OG)Defoe 77'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 1.8 to 1.5

Full time

LeicesterLeicester City

Okazaki 80'

Win chances: Leicester favored. Sunderland win 28%, draw 28%, Leicester win 44%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Leicester
SunderlandLeicester
1.81.5
2Goals1
1.61.2