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Sunderland v Liverpool, Premier League 2016–17

SunderlandSunderland

Defoe 25' penalty, 84' penalty

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 2.0 to 1.9

Full time

LiverpoolLiverpool

Sturridge 19'Mané 72'

Win chances: Liverpool favored. Sunderland win 17%, draw 22%, Liverpool win 61%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Liverpool
SunderlandLiverpool
2.01.9
2Goals2
1.51.3