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Sunderland v Middlesbrough, Premier League 2016–17

SunderlandSunderland

van Aanholt 71'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.6 to 0.5

Full time

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Stuani 13', 45'

Win chances: Middlesbrough favored. Sunderland win 33%, draw 29%, Middlesbrough win 38%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 21. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Middlesbrough
SunderlandMiddlesbrough
1.60.5
1Goals2
2.20.6