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Sunderland v Southampton, Premier League 2016–17

SunderlandSunderland

Final score 0 to 4

Expected goals 0.2 to 1.0

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Gabbiadini 30', 45'Denayer 88' (OG)Long 90+2'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Sunderland win 26%, draw 28%, Southampton win 46%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 11. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Southampton
SunderlandSouthampton
0.21.0
0Goals4
0.62.0