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Sunderland v Watford, Premier League 2016–17

SunderlandSunderland

van Aanholt 49'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.8

Full time

WatfordWatford

Win chances: Sunderland favored. Sunderland win 41%, draw 30%, Watford win 29%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 17. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Sunderland and Watford
SunderlandWatford
0.80.8
1Goals0
1.31.3