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Swansea City v Burnley, Premier League 2016–17

SwanseaSwansea City

Llorente 12', 90+2'Olsson 69'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 2.0 to 1.1

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Gray 20' penalty, 61'

Win chances: Swansea favored. Swansea win 41%, draw 28%, Burnley win 31%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Burnley
SwanseaBurnley
2.01.1
3Goals2
2.00.8