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Swansea City v Crystal Palace, Premier League 2016–17

SwanseaSwansea City

Sigurdsson 36'Fer 66', 68'Llorente 90+1', 90+3'

Final score 5 to 4

Expected goals 2.3 to 1.8

Full time

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Zaha 19'Tomkins 75'Cork 82' (OG)Benteke 84'

Win chances: Swansea favored. Swansea win 39%, draw 29%, Crystal Palace win 32%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Swansea and Crystal Palace
SwanseaCrystal Palace
2.31.8
5Goals4
1.71.1