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Watford v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17

WatfordWatford

Pereyra 57'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 1.2 to 2.0

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Cazorla 9' penaltySánchez 40'Özil 45+1'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Watford win 20%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 55%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 27. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Arsenal
WatfordArsenal
1.22.0
1Goals3
0.91.9