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Watford v Chelsea, Premier League 2016–17

WatfordWatford

Capoue 55'

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 0.5 to 1.0

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Batshuayi 80'Costa 87'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Watford win 28%, draw 27%, Chelsea win 45%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 20. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Chelsea
WatfordChelsea
0.51.0
1Goals2
0.91.8