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Watford v Everton, Premier League 2016–17

WatfordWatford

Okaka 36', 64'Prödl 59'

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 1.2 to 1.2

Full time

EvertonEverton

Lukaku 17', 86'

Win chances: Everton favored. Watford win 34%, draw 30%, Everton win 36%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 10. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Everton
WatfordEverton
1.21.2
3Goals2
1.31.4