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Watford v Leicester City, Premier League 2016–17

WatfordWatford

Capoue 1'Pereyra 12'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.7 to 1.7

Full time

LeicesterLeicester City

Mahrez 15' penalty

Win chances: Leicester favored. Watford win 29%, draw 29%, Leicester win 42%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 19. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Leicester
WatfordLeicester
0.71.7
2Goals1
0.72.1