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Watford v Southampton, Premier League 2016–17

WatfordWatford

Deeney 4'Okaka 79'Doucouré 90+4'

Final score 3 to 4

Expected goals 1.6 to 1.2

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Tadic 28'Redmond 45+2', 86'Gabbiadini 83'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Watford win 27%, draw 29%, Southampton win 44%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Mar 4. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Watford and Southampton
WatfordSouthampton
1.61.2
3Goals4
1.61.1