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West Ham United v Arsenal, Premier League 2016–17

West HamWest Ham United

Carroll 83'

Final score 1 to 5

Expected goals 0.7 to 2.0

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Özil 24'Sánchez 72', 80', 86'Oxlade-Chamberlain 84'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. West Ham win 23%, draw 25%, Arsenal win 52%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, West Ham and Arsenal
West HamArsenal
0.72.0
1Goals5
0.62.2