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Arsenal v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2017–18

ArsenalArsenal

Welbeck 6', 50'Lacazette 27'

Final score 3 to 0

Expected goals 1.2 to 0.6

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 67%, draw 19%, Bournemouth win 14%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Bournemouth
ArsenalBournemouth
1.20.6
3Goals0
1.80.9