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Arsenal v Chelsea, Premier League 2017–18

ArsenalArsenal

Wilshere 63'Bellerín 90+2'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 1.2 to 3.4

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Hazard 67' penaltyAlonso 84'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 37%, draw 28%, Chelsea win 35%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Chelsea
ArsenalChelsea
1.23.4
2Goals2
0.42.5