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Arsenal v Manchester United, Premier League 2017–18

ArsenalArsenal

Lacazette 49'

Final score 1 to 3

Expected goals 3.5 to 1.8

Full time

Man UnitedManchester United

Valencia 4'Lingard 11', 63'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 45%, draw 25%, Man United win 30%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 2. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Arsenal and Man United
ArsenalMan United
3.51.8
1Goals3
2.20.7