Arsenal v Newcastle United, Premier League 2017–18
ArsenalArsenal
Özil 23'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 2.1 to 0.5
NewcastleNewcastle United
- Date Saturday, December 16, 2017
- Premier League 2017–18
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 16. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 76%, draw 15%, Newcastle win 9%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Newcastle | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.5 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.4 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.4 | ||