Arsenal v Stoke City, Premier League 2017–18
ArsenalArsenal
Aubameyang 75' penalty, 86'Lacazette 89' penalty
Final score 3 to 0
Expected goals 4.1 to 0.7
StokeStoke City
- Date Sunday, April 1, 2018
- Premier League 2017–18
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 1. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Arsenal favored. Arsenal win 72%, draw 18%, Stoke win 10%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Apr 1. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Arsenal | Stoke | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 0.7 | ||
| 3 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 2.8 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 0.1 | ||