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AFC Bournemouth v Arsenal, Premier League 2017–18

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Wilson 70'Ibe 74'

Final score 2 to 1

Expected goals 0.8 to 1.0

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Bellerín 52'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Bournemouth win 22%, draw 23%, Arsenal win 55%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Jan 14. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Arsenal
BournemouthArsenal
0.81.0
2Goals1
1.21.5