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AFC Bournemouth v Southampton, Premier League 2017–18

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Fraser 42'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.1 to 1.6

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Austin 61'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Bournemouth win 35%, draw 28%, Southampton win 37%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 3. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Bournemouth and Southampton
BournemouthSouthampton
1.11.6
1Goals1
1.11.7