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Burnley v Arsenal, Premier League 2017–18

BurnleyBurnley

Final score 0 to 1

Expected goals 0.6 to 1.9

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Sánchez 90+2' penalty

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Burnley win 22%, draw 26%, Arsenal win 52%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 26. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Arsenal
BurnleyArsenal
0.61.9
0Goals1
0.52.2