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Burnley v Southampton, Premier League 2017–18

BurnleyBurnley

Barnes 67'

Final score 1 to 1

Expected goals 1.0 to 1.1

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Gabbiadini 90'

Win chances: Southampton favored. Burnley win 32%, draw 34%, Southampton win 34%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Feb 24. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Burnley and Southampton
BurnleySouthampton
1.01.1
1Goals1
1.31.4