Burnley v Watford, Premier League 2017–18
BurnleyBurnley
Arfield 45'
Final score 1 to 0
Expected goals 0.5 to 1.1
WatfordWatford
- Date Saturday, December 9, 2017
- Premier League 2017–18
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 9. It was not published before the match.
Win chances: Burnley favored. Burnley win 38%, draw 30%, Watford win 32%.
What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works
Expected goals
| Burnley | Watford | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | Expected goals. What each side's chances were worth, in goals, from our own model of each shot in the match's commentary. | 1.1 | ||
| 1 | Goals | 0 | ||
| 0.9 | Expected points. The points each side's chances were worth, on average. | 1.8 | ||