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Chelsea v Burnley, Premier League 2017–18

ChelseaChelsea

Morata 69'Luiz 88'

Final score 2 to 3

Expected goals 1.3 to 0.6

Full time

BurnleyBurnley

Vokes 24', 43'Ward 39'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 71%, draw 20%, Burnley win 9%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Aug 12. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Burnley
ChelseaBurnley
1.30.6
2Goals3
1.90.8