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Chelsea v Southampton, Premier League 2017–18

ChelseaChelsea

Alonso 45+3'

Final score 1 to 0

Expected goals 1.8 to 0.8

Full time

SouthamptonSouthampton

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Chelsea win 63%, draw 23%, Southampton win 14%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 16. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Chelsea and Southampton
ChelseaSouthampton
1.80.8
1Goals0
2.10.7