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Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2017–18

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Milivojevic 41' penaltyDann 44'

Final score 2 to 2

Expected goals 4.8 to 0.8

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Defoe 10', 45+3'

Win chances: Crystal Palace favored. Crystal Palace win 48%, draw 26%, Bournemouth win 26%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Crystal Palace and Bournemouth
Crystal PalaceBournemouth
4.80.8
2Goals2
2.90.1