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Everton v Arsenal, Premier League 2017–18

EvertonEverton

Rooney 12'Niasse 90+3'

Final score 2 to 5

Expected goals 0.6 to 3.2

Full time

ArsenalArsenal

Monreal 40'Özil 53'Lacazette 74'Ramsey 90'Sánchez 90+5'

Win chances: Arsenal favored. Everton win 35%, draw 27%, Arsenal win 38%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Oct 22. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Arsenal
EvertonArsenal
0.63.2
2Goals5
0.22.7