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Everton v Watford, Premier League 2017–18

EvertonEverton

Niasse 67'Calvert-Lewin 74'Baines 90+1' penalty

Final score 3 to 2

Expected goals 1.7 to 1.6

Full time

WatfordWatford

Richarlison 46'Kabasele 64'

Win chances: Everton favored. Everton win 51%, draw 25%, Watford win 24%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Nov 5. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Everton and Watford
EvertonWatford
1.71.6
3Goals2
1.41.4