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Leicester City v Chelsea, Premier League 2017–18

LeicesterLeicester City

Vardy 62' penalty

Final score 1 to 2

Expected goals 1.3 to 0.9

Full time

ChelseaChelsea

Morata 41'Kanté 50'

Win chances: Chelsea favored. Leicester win 25%, draw 26%, Chelsea win 49%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Sep 9. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Leicester and Chelsea
LeicesterChelsea
1.30.9
1Goals2
1.61.1