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Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2017–18

Man CityManchester City

Agüero 27', 79'Sterling 53'Danilo 85'

Final score 4 to 0

Expected goals 0.8 to 0.5

Full time

BournemouthAFC Bournemouth

Win chances: Man City favored. Man City win 89%, draw 8%, Bournemouth win 3%.

What model version 2 would have said before kickoff, worked out afterward from the results known on Dec 23. It was not published before the match. How the forecast works

Expected goals

Expected goals, goals, and expected points, Man City and Bournemouth
Man CityBournemouth
0.80.5
4Goals0
1.61.0